All posts by Nicholas Gerbis

The Topsy-Turvy World of Trendspotting

Poster of Alexander Trend forecasters project everything from staffing and hiring needs to next year’s “it” color. Through a combination of instinct, experience, statistical modeling and not a little bit of finger-crossing, they tell clients where best to place their billion-dollar bets. Even granting the occasional self-fulfilling prophecy, it’s never been an easy gig, and the consequences of failure can be ruinous.

Today, big data is changing the field, providing unprecedented amounts of information even as it churns out predictive algorithms no one quite understands. In this article, I take a look at the past and future of this prognosticative trade and examine …

How Trend Forecasters Work

The Science Behind Weather Superstitions

Photo of Grounghog Day from Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania.
Ignore the shadow of the lowland marmot at your peril! (Or not). Photo by Anthony Quintano.

Weather. It can destroy homes and harvests, shut down entire regions and re-sculpt coastlines in a matter of hours. It’s small wonder we tend to be a bit superstitious about the subject, or that we’re loath to let go of the received wisdom of family, friends and the Old Farmer’s Almanac.

Then again, maybe those old wives tales contain a kernel of truth. Sometimes there’s a reason to the rhyme, as I reveal in this list of …

10 Scientifically Sound Weather Superstitions

The Scientist and the Sea Serpent

Monstrous tree roots break the surface of the sea, silhouetted by the sun.
Sea monster — or tree trunk? Photo by Colin Park.

Most seafaring cultures have sea monster myths or folktales. They are preserved in manuscripts, in the margins of old maps, on the walls of Hindu temples and in the rock carvings of American Indians. Tales tell of monstrous sea gods and their fearsome servants as well as other assorted briny beasts. But is there a drop of truth to any of these tall tales? And how might we find out? Join me as I explore…

How Sea Monsters Work

A Brief History of the Affordable Care Act

President Barack Obama signs the health insurance reform bill in the East Room of the White House, March 23, 2010.
President Obama signs the health insurance reform bill. (Official White House Photo by Chuck Kennedy)

The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2010 is the latest milestone in a century-long struggle to reform healthcare in America and the most significant achievement in that area since President Lyndon Johnson signed Medicare and Medicaid into law in 1965. Its passage was a hard-won victory marred by compromise and sapped by a ceaseless campaign to block its passage, halt its implementation and gut its funding – a struggle that continues to this day. Already the ACA has overcome one Supreme Court challenge, with another appearance before the highest court in the land likely in 2015.

Amid all the wrangling and vitriol, it’s easy to lose track of what happened and when, but don’t worry. My latest article has you covered.

The History of the Affordable Care Act

Just in Time for Halloween: 5 Nightmares of Nature

A preserved prickly anglerfish. Photo by Canley.
A preserved prickly anglerfish. Photo by Canley.

Impatient for Halloween? Why get your chills from midnight movies or lame costumes when the world already teems with the denizens of Mother Nature’s darkest dreams? From the tame to the tongue-devouring, these creepy creatures are guaranteed to fly, swim and burrow into you nightmares.  Dare to take my twisted tour of…

5 Animals That Look Like Monsters